Ufc 246 Betting
UFC 246 odds: Conor McGregor (-300) vs Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone (+235), Saturday at 10 p.m. ET Neil Bisman’s UFC 246 picks. One of the biggest issues with betting the moneyline in a Conor.
- Ufc 246 Betting Predictions
- Ufc 246 Betting Lines
- Ufc 246 Card Betting Odds
- Ufc 246 Fight Card
- Ufc 246 Betting
- MORE: Get the latest UFC betting odds and trends from Sports Insider Conor McGregor vs. Cowboy odds for UFC 246. Conor McGregor -335; Cowboy Cerrone +275; Total Rounds 1.5; McGregor is 21-4 as a.
- Top UFC sports betting sites favor Conor McGregor over Donald Cerrone by -300 in the main event of UFC 246 on January 18, 2020 at T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, Nevada, United States. UFC 246: Donald.
- Conor McGregor makes his return to the Octagon at UFC 246 as a heavy betting favorite Can Donald Cerrone pull off the upset as a +277 underdog? Former champs Holly Holm and Anthony Pettis are.
This weekend’s UFC 246 is a strong bookmaking and betting match. Both the moneyline and prop menu offer different incentives to each side.
The return of Conor “Notorious’ McGregor from a 15-month layoff to battle Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone Saturday at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas is more than a battle of high-profile performers, ranked number four and five in the lightweight division.
There are enough questions regarding each fighter — McGregor’s layoff and Cerrone’s history of taxing bouts — to open significant betting variables. Does McGregor, who claims he will make $80 million on this fight because of incentives, still have the hunger? He lost his last bout and has lucrative businesses outside of UFC. Cerrone lost his last two fights but has battled five times during McGregor’s layoff.
To commemorate their scheduled five-round bout, here are five of the best ways to bet UFC 246. This outlook represents methods and strategy, even more than particular wagers, because there are hundreds of props at major betting operators like DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook, BetMGM and PointsBet.
The gambling approach to The McGregor vs. Cowboy Fight
Round One: Forget the moneyline for McGregor backers. He is laying in the vicinity of +300 (3-to-1) at the books. Wagering $300 to win $100? Not sexy. There are fertile opportunities for him in the prop field.
Round Two: Absolutely play the win line if you like Cerrone, at returns averaging roughly +250. Props are fine to supplement, but this is like taking the win line at the Kentucky Derby on a 5-2 pick. If you like this, hit the win-line hard and place less on the props (which would resemble the exactas and trifectas of the horse-racing world). Nothing frustrates a bettor more than having the right selection, but betting it incorrectly.
Round Three: Narrow the focus. Books have an enticing prop menu. But you can’t get lost in them, diverting the bankroll. There are numerous victory and method props, over/under and knockout rounds, even the unlikely draw. But they can overlap. Know where you have aimed the money.
Round Four: Determine your operation. A safe build-out can start from picking two-round group packages for when the bout ends. A rounds bet or method prop can be added. Or do you want to go for a slam, betting one prop heavy in search of the big score? Know how much of the landscape you want to travel.
Round Five: The accent piece. Seek a strange angle and place a small bet. McGregor has only lost twice in the UFC. But both times were by submission. Including his last fight. There are long odds on a submission finish in this fight because both fighters are excellent strikers. That’s why the submission prop pays well.
Honorable Mention: Holly Holm and Raquel Pennington fight on the undercard in a rematch of a previous split decision victory by Holm. The books back a long battle, probably a decision. Any fighter on the moneyline at DraftKings (at -137 for Holm, + 110 for Pennington) is not a bad play. Odds of a knockout are in the range of +1000 (10-to-1) on both sides.
Odds on UFC 246
DraftKings Sportsbook
The Line: McGregor -315, Cerrone +250
The over-under for the fight is 1.5 rounds, which is also reflected in the range-of-finish props. Bettors lay +150 if the fight ends inside of two rounds. The payout is +375 for rounds 3-4 and a draw is +5000.
Extending to individual fighters, McGregor’s winning rounds range from +175 in round one to +2500 in the fifth. Cerrone also pays 25-1 in round 5 but would return 11-1 for a first-round victory. Translation: McGregor will try to and win early and if Cerrone turns the tables, it will pay handsomely.
A McGregor win inside of two rounds is -115 but a KO in round two pays +650. Victory for him in the round 3-4 package is worth +650, but Round 3 is +1500 and Round 4 is +1900.
For Cerrone backers, individual rounds knockouts return from 22-1-50-1 from rounds 1-5. Submissions return 22-1 to 40-1, depending upon the round.
FanDuel Sportsbook
The line: McGregor -290, Cerrone +220
The prop line suggests an early McGregor knockout, at -210.
McGregor on points is +1000 and a submission is +3200. Cerrone returns +700 for a knockout, +950 for a decision and +700 for a submission.
McGregor’s range of knockout victories returns +175 for Round 1 up to +2900 for Round 5. Cerrone’s payouts are +2400 for the opening round and +5500 for a stoppage in Round 5. Cerrone also pays +5500 for a submission triumph in Round 5.
Will the fight go the distance? Yes is +440 and the bettor would not have to sweat out who wins.
BetMGM
The line: McGregor -334, Cerrone +260
McGregor’s victory spectrum ranges from +170 in Round 1 to +2200 in the fifth.
Cerrone has a similar payout, +2500, for a round-five win. The major difference between them is early, where Cerrone would return +1100 for a first-round victory.
This is a unique menu because it offers half-rounds. The over-under hits the even-money area at 1.5 rounds. That would pay +100 for the over and -121 for the under.
As the rounds progress, the expected stoppage changes the numbers to over 2.5 rounds at +187 and under at -250. Want to try 3.5 rounds? That’s +240 for the over and -358 for the under. Over 4.5 rounds and a full fight exceed +400 on the over and -500 and -589 on the under. Translation: the appeal for the under dies after the first round.
PointsBet
The line: McGregor -286, Cerrone +230
Some sweet spots for McGregor are specific round props. McGregor knockout victories in Round 3 (+ 750) and Round 4 (+1200) provide a 10-minute window for McGregor to provide a good return. Putting money on EACH of the rounds and taking a smaller payout is a reasonable way to go for anyone believing in a mid-rounds stoppage for McGregor.
Cerrone backers would receive +750 for a knockout win, +500 for a submission and +950 for a points verdict. Cowboy bettors would score a boatload, +8000, should Cerrone submit McGregor during the fifth round.
This article was originally posted Tuesday. Odds are subject to change. For current odds, click the sportsbook links above.
Are you ready for some UFC 246 betting — if so — “Notorious” ConorMcGregor is finally making a return to the octagon for a showdown with “Cowboy” Donald Cerrone. This welterweight main event is set for Saturday January 18, 2020 at T-Mobile Arena in Paradise,Nevada.
This main event fight should be an interesting one, since there is a lot of pressure of McGregor to perform well and move on to potential other fights on his “hit list”. Let’s take a look at some of the UFC 246 betting odds for the main event.
UFC 246 Betting Main Event Odds
With Cerrone coming into this fight as cool and calm as ever, it makes you wonder if he is just as motivated to win as McGregor is. Notorious has a lot more on his plate than Cowboy does, and this could change the fight tremendously.
The UFC 246 betting odds for the main event are currently at:
- McGregor: -310
- Cerrone: +240
*Odds subject to change
Tale of the Tape
The 31 year old McGregor is currently the third best fighter in the lightweight division. His record has developed quite nicely, with it being 21-4-0. 18 of those days wins are by knockout. Add in a 41% striking accuracy and a 63% grappling accuracy, and you have a dangerous fighter. His other stats include a reach that extends to 74 inches and he stands at 69 inches.
The 36 year old Cerrone is currently the number five fighter in the lightweight division. He has made an outstanding career record of 36-12-0. 10 of those wins are by knockout and 17 are by submission. Combined with a 47% striking accuracy and a 36% grappling accuracy, this sets him up for a balanced fight. He also has a reach of 73 inches and stands 73 inches tall.
McGregor will need to keep himself off the ground, as I believe Cerrone will try to submit him. On the other side, I look for McGregor to try and knockout Cerrone in some form or fashion.
Fight Opinions on UFC 246
Cerrone has not had the last few fights go his way, with two consecutive losses. This seems like it is a difficult time for him but this man has seen it all, and I do believe he has the ability to snap out of a losing streak. He definitely has the experience to turn it around if he fights well against McGregor.
McGregor has had more than enough time to rest and get in shape for this fight. I see a ridiculously motivated McGregor, since he could also earn a title shot at lightweight with a victory over Cerrone. If he gets this one, and assuming KhabibNurmagomedov wins his next fight, we could potentially have a rematch with those two fighters. McGregor obviously has more motivation coming into this fight.
Final Thoughts for UFC 246 Betting
Ufc 246 Betting Predictions
Grab your popcorn and get ready for the show. This one is going to be a great fight, regardless of who comes out on top. McGregor better have his mind on this fight and not who he could face next, because Cerrone definitely has the potential to take him out.
McGregor has a nearly complete resume. He does not need to prove anything to anyone, but this guy is still climbing to the top. He is motivated to become the best fighter and already taking personal shots at the potential rematch with Khabib Nurmagomedov.
This fight has all the makings to be the fight of the night. I think the end result and will be a victory for Connor McGregor.
Connor has a mouth on him, and he usually can back it up once he steps foot into the octagon. I would hate to see Cerrone lose for a third straight time, but Cerrone has not fought anyone as good and unique as McGregor in a long time.
Ufc 246 Betting Lines
Who are we betting on for UFC 246?
Ufc 246 Card Betting Odds
Ufc 246 Fight Card
- UFC 246 Betting Prediction: McGregor wins by TKO/KO
Ufc 246 Betting
If you are looking to learn more about how to bet on the UFC, you can check out our UFC Betting Guide here at Knup Sports.